Tennessee Titans vs Miami Dolphins — Win Probability
FINAL
Tennessee Titans
0-3
31
VS
Miami Dolphins
1-1
12
Market line: MIA -1.5, total 39.5 · Model expected score: Tennessee Titans 19.0 – Miami Dolphins 20.5
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Dolphins 55%
ACTUAL RESULT
Tennessee Titans won by 19
COMBINED SCORE
43
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Margin of Victory — Miami Dolphins (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
45%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
17%
Won by 15-21
10%
Won by 21+
7%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 43.
O/U LINE 30
76% over ✓24% under
O/U LINE 39.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 40
48% over ✓52% under
O/U LINE 44
37% over63% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
26% over74% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
17% over83% under ✓
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