Pittsburgh Steelers vs Indianapolis Colts — Win Probability
FINAL
Pittsburgh Steelers
3-1
24
VS
Indianapolis Colts
1-2
27
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Colts 55%
ACTUAL RESULT
Indianapolis Colts won by 3
COMBINED SCORE
51
Margin of Victory — Indianapolis Colts (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
45%
Won by 1-3 ← actual result
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
17%
Won by 15-21
10%
Won by 21+
7%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 51.
O/U LINE 30
79% over ✓21% under
O/U LINE 40
53% over ✓47% under
O/U LINE 41 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 44
41% over ✓59% under
O/U LINE 48
30% over ✓70% under
O/U LINE 52
20% over80% under ✓
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Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
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