Philadelphia Eagles vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Win Probability
FINAL
Philadelphia Eagles
4-0
16
VS
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
2-1
33
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Eagles 54%
ACTUAL RESULT
Tampa Bay Buccaneers won by 17
COMBINED SCORE
49
Margin of Victory — Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
54%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
11%
Won by 8-14
14%
Won by 15-21 ← actual result
8%
Won by 21+
5%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 49.
O/U LINE 30
91% over ✓9% under
O/U LINE 40
71% over ✓29% under
O/U LINE 44
60% over ✓40% under
O/U LINE 47.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 48
48% over ✓52% under
O/U LINE 52
37% over63% under ✓
Unlock Full Game Stats
Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
Sign Up Free