Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers — Win Probability
FINAL
Minnesota Vikings
3-0
31
VS
Green Bay Packers
2-1
29
Market line: MIN -2.0, total 39.5 · Model expected score: Minnesota Vikings 20.7 – Green Bay Packers 18.7
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Vikings 56%
ACTUAL RESULT
Minnesota Vikings won by 2
COMBINED SCORE
60
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Margin of Victory — Green Bay Packers (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
56%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
10%
Won by 8-14
14%
Won by 15-21
7%
Won by 21+
4%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 60.
O/U LINE 30
76% over ✓24% under
O/U LINE 39.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 40
48% over ✓52% under
O/U LINE 44
37% over ✓63% under
O/U LINE 48
26% over ✓74% under
O/U LINE 52
17% over ✓83% under
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