Los Angeles Rams vs Chicago Bears — Win Probability
FINAL
Los Angeles Rams
1-2
18
VS
Chicago Bears
1-1
24
Market line: CHI -2.5, total 42.5 · Model expected score: Los Angeles Rams 20.0 – Chicago Bears 22.5
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Bears 58%
ACTUAL RESULT
Chicago Bears won by 6
COMBINED SCORE
42
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Margin of Victory — Chicago Bears (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
42%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7 ← actual result
12%
Won by 8-14
17%
Won by 15-21
11%
Won by 21+
8%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 42.
O/U LINE 30
83% over ✓17% under
O/U LINE 40
57% over ✓43% under
O/U LINE 42.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
46% over54% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
34% over66% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
24% over76% under ✓
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