Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers — Win Probability
FINAL
Kansas City Chiefs
3-0
17
VS
Los Angeles Chargers
2-2
10
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Chiefs 64%
ACTUAL RESULT
Kansas City Chiefs won by 7
COMBINED SCORE
27
Margin of Victory — Los Angeles Chargers (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
64%
Won by 1-3
8%
Won by 4-7
9%
Won by 8-14
11%
Won by 15-21
5%
Won by 21+
3%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 27.
O/U LINE 30
83% over17% under ✓
O/U LINE 40
59% over41% under ✓
O/U LINE 43 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
47% over53% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
35% over65% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
25% over75% under ✓
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Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
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