San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Rams — Win Probability
FINAL
San Francisco 49ers
0-1
24
VS
Los Angeles Rams
0-2
27
Market line: SF -4.5, total 48 · Model expected score: San Francisco 49ers 26.3 – Los Angeles Rams 21.7
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
49ers 63%
ACTUAL RESULT
Los Angeles Rams won by 3
COMBINED SCORE
51
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Margin of Victory — Los Angeles Rams (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
63%
Won by 1-3 ← actual result
8%
Won by 4-7
9%
Won by 8-14
11%
Won by 15-21
5%
Won by 21+
3%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 51.
O/U LINE 30
91% over ✓9% under
O/U LINE 40
73% over ✓27% under
O/U LINE 44
62% over ✓38% under
O/U LINE 48
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 48 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 52
38% over62% under ✓
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