PHI15
FINAL
12NO
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Philadelphia Eagles vs New Orleans Saints — Win Probability

FINAL
Philadelphia Eagles logo
Philadelphia Eagles
2-0
15
VS
New Orleans Saints logo
New Orleans Saints
2-0
12
Market line: PHI -3.5, total 47 · Model expected score: Philadelphia Eagles 25.2 – New Orleans Saints 21.8
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Prediction vs. Result

We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.

PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Eagles 60%
ACTUAL RESULT
Philadelphia Eagles won by 3
COMBINED SCORE
27
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Margin of Victory — New Orleans Saints (Home)

Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.

Lost / Tied ← actual result
60%
Won by 1-3
8%
Won by 4-7
10%
Won by 8-14
12%
Won by 15-21
6%
Won by 21+
3%

Total Score — Over / Under

Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 27.

O/U LINE 30
90% over10% under ✓
O/U LINE 40
70% over30% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
59% over41% under ✓
O/U LINE 47 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
47% over53% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
35% over65% under ✓
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Every number above comes from the model's live prediction data — 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations, grounded in the market line at generation time.

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