New York Giants vs Cleveland Browns — Win Probability
FINAL
New York Giants
0-2
21
VS
Cleveland Browns
1-1
15
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Browns 69%
ACTUAL RESULT
New York Giants won by 6
COMBINED SCORE
36
Margin of Victory — Cleveland Browns (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
31%
Won by 1-3
8%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
20%
Won by 15-21
15%
Won by 21+
14%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 36.
O/U LINE 30
79% over ✓21% under
O/U LINE 40
52% over48% under ✓
O/U LINE 40.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
40% over60% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
29% over71% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
20% over80% under ✓
Projected Margin Range — Cleveland Browns (Home)
Negative means Cleveland Browns lost by that many points. The shaded band is the 25th–75th percentile; the dot is the median.
P05: -15
Median: +7
P95: +28