MIA3
FINAL
24SEA
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Miami Dolphins vs Seattle Seahawks — Win Probability

FINAL
Miami Dolphins logo
Miami Dolphins
1-0
3
VS
Seattle Seahawks logo
Seattle Seahawks
2-0
24
Market line: MIA -1.0, total 47.5 · Model expected score: Miami Dolphins 24.3 – Seattle Seahawks 23.2
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Prediction vs. Result

We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.

PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Dolphins 53%
ACTUAL RESULT
Seattle Seahawks won by 21
COMBINED SCORE
27
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Margin of Victory — Seattle Seahawks (Home)

Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.

Lost / Tied
53%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
11%
Won by 8-14
14%
Won by 15-21 ← actual result
8%
Won by 21+
5%

Total Score — Over / Under

Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 27.

O/U LINE 30
91% over9% under ✓
O/U LINE 40
71% over29% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
60% over40% under ✓
O/U LINE 47.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
49% over51% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
37% over63% under ✓
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Every number above comes from the model's live prediction data — 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations, grounded in the market line at generation time.

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