Los Angeles Chargers vs Pittsburgh Steelers — Win Probability
FINAL
Los Angeles Chargers
2-1
10
VS
Pittsburgh Steelers
2-1
20
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Steelers 56%
ACTUAL RESULT
Pittsburgh Steelers won by 10
COMBINED SCORE
30
Margin of Victory — Pittsburgh Steelers (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
44%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14 ← actual result
17%
Won by 15-21
10%
Won by 21+
8%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 30.
O/U LINE 30
74% over26% under ✓
O/U LINE 38.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 40
46% over54% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
34% over66% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
24% over76% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
16% over84% under ✓
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Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
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