HOU7
FINAL
34MIN
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Houston Texans vs Minnesota Vikings — Win Probability

FINAL
Houston Texans logo
Houston Texans
2-1
7
VS
Minnesota Vikings logo
Minnesota Vikings
2-0
34
Market line: HOU -2.5, total 45 · Model expected score: Houston Texans 23.7 – Minnesota Vikings 21.2
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Prediction vs. Result

We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.

PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Texans 58%
ACTUAL RESULT
Minnesota Vikings won by 27
COMBINED SCORE
41
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Margin of Victory — Minnesota Vikings (Home)

Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.

Lost / Tied
58%
Won by 1-3
8%
Won by 4-7
10%
Won by 8-14
13%
Won by 15-21
7%
Won by 21+ ← actual result
4%

Total Score — Over / Under

Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 41.

O/U LINE 30
87% over ✓13% under
O/U LINE 40
65% over ✓35% under
O/U LINE 44
53% over47% under ✓
O/U LINE 45 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
41% over59% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
30% over70% under ✓
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Every number above comes from the model's live prediction data — 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations, grounded in the market line at generation time.

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