Green Bay Packers vs Tennessee Titans — Win Probability
FINAL
Green Bay Packers
1-1
30
VS
Tennessee Titans
0-2
14
Market line: TEN -2.5, total 39.5 · Model expected score: Green Bay Packers 18.5 – Tennessee Titans 21.0
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Titans 57%
ACTUAL RESULT
Green Bay Packers won by 16
COMBINED SCORE
44
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Margin of Victory — Tennessee Titans (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
43%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
18%
Won by 15-21
11%
Won by 21+
8%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 44.
O/U LINE 30
76% over ✓24% under
O/U LINE 39.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 40
49% over ✓51% under
O/U LINE 44
37% over63% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
26% over74% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
17% over83% under ✓
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