Denver Broncos vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Win Probability
FINAL
Denver Broncos
0-3
26
VS
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
2-0
7
Market line: TB -5.0, total 43 · Model expected score: Denver Broncos 19.0 – Tampa Bay Buccaneers 24.0
Ad space
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Buccaneers 64%
ACTUAL RESULT
Denver Broncos won by 19
COMBINED SCORE
33
Ad space
Margin of Victory — Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
36%
Won by 1-3
8%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
19%
Won by 15-21
13%
Won by 21+
11%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 33.
O/U LINE 30
83% over ✓17% under
O/U LINE 40
59% over41% under ✓
O/U LINE 43 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
47% over53% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
35% over65% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
25% over75% under ✓
🔒
Unlock Full Game Stats
Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
PFF player grades, lineup matchups, and betting-line insights for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.