CAR36
FINAL
22LV
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Carolina Panthers vs Las Vegas Raiders — Win Probability

FINAL
Carolina Panthers logo
Carolina Panthers
0-2
36
VS
Las Vegas Raiders logo
Las Vegas Raiders
1-1
22
Market line: LV -5.0, total 40 · Model expected score: Carolina Panthers 17.5 – Las Vegas Raiders 22.5
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Prediction vs. Result

We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.

PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Raiders 65%
ACTUAL RESULT
Carolina Panthers won by 14
COMBINED SCORE
58
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Margin of Victory — Las Vegas Raiders (Home)

Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.

Lost / Tied ← actual result
35%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
19%
Won by 15-21
14%
Won by 21+
11%

Total Score — Over / Under

Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 58.

O/U LINE 30
77% over ✓23% under
O/U LINE 40
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 40 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 44
38% over ✓62% under
O/U LINE 48
27% over ✓73% under
O/U LINE 52
18% over ✓82% under
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Every number above comes from the model's live prediction data — 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations, grounded in the market line at generation time.

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