Baltimore Ravens vs Dallas Cowboys — Win Probability
FINAL
Baltimore Ravens
1-2
28
VS
Dallas Cowboys
1-1
25
Market line: DAL -1.0, total 47.5 · Model expected score: Baltimore Ravens 23.2 – Dallas Cowboys 24.2
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Cowboys 53%
ACTUAL RESULT
Baltimore Ravens won by 3
COMBINED SCORE
53
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Margin of Victory — Dallas Cowboys (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
47%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
11%
Won by 8-14
16%
Won by 15-21
10%
Won by 21+
7%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 53.
O/U LINE 30
90% over ✓10% under
O/U LINE 40
71% over ✓29% under
O/U LINE 44
60% over ✓40% under
O/U LINE 47.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 48
48% over ✓52% under
O/U LINE 52
37% over ✓63% under
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