SEA23
FINAL
20NE
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Seattle Seahawks vs New England Patriots — Win Probability

FINAL
Seattle Seahawks logo
Seattle Seahawks
1-0
23
VS
New England Patriots logo
New England Patriots
1-0
20
Market line: SEA -3.0, total 41 · Model expected score: Seattle Seahawks 22.0 – New England Patriots 19.0
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Prediction vs. Result

We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.

PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Seahawks 59%
ACTUAL RESULT
Seattle Seahawks won by 3
COMBINED SCORE
43
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Margin of Victory — New England Patriots (Home)

Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.

Lost / Tied ← actual result
59%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
10%
Won by 8-14
12%
Won by 15-21
7%
Won by 21+
4%

Total Score — Over / Under

Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 43.

O/U LINE 30
79% over ✓21% under
O/U LINE 40
53% over ✓47% under
O/U LINE 41 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 44
41% over59% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
30% over70% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
21% over79% under ✓
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Every number above comes from the model's live prediction data — 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations, grounded in the market line at generation time.

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