NYJ24
FINAL
17TEN
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New York Jets vs Tennessee Titans — Win Probability

FINAL
New York Jets logo
New York Jets
0-0
24
VS
Tennessee Titans logo
Tennessee Titans
0-1
17
Market line: NYJ -4.0, total 43.5 · Model expected score: New York Jets 23.8 – Tennessee Titans 19.8
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Prediction vs. Result

We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.

PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Jets 62%
ACTUAL RESULT
New York Jets won by 7
COMBINED SCORE
41
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Margin of Victory — Tennessee Titans (Home)

Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.

Lost / Tied ← actual result
62%
Won by 1-3
8%
Won by 4-7
9%
Won by 8-14
12%
Won by 15-21
6%
Won by 21+
3%

Total Score — Over / Under

Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 41.

O/U LINE 30
84% over ✓16% under
O/U LINE 40
60% over ✓40% under
O/U LINE 43.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
49% over51% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
37% over63% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
26% over74% under ✓
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Every number above comes from the model's live prediction data — 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations, grounded in the market line at generation time.

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