New York Giants vs Washington Commanders — Win Probability
FINAL
New York Giants
0-1
18
VS
Washington Commanders
0-1
21
Market line: WAS -2.5, total 41.5 · Model expected score: New York Giants 19.5 – Washington Commanders 22.0
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Commanders 57%
ACTUAL RESULT
Washington Commanders won by 3
COMBINED SCORE
39
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Margin of Victory — Washington Commanders (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
43%
Won by 1-3 ← actual result
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
17%
Won by 15-21
11%
Won by 21+
8%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 39.
O/U LINE 30
81% over ✓19% under
O/U LINE 40
55% over45% under ✓
O/U LINE 41.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
43% over57% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
31% over69% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
22% over78% under ✓
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