Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals — Win Probability
FINAL
Los Angeles Rams
0-0
10
VS
Arizona Cardinals
0-1
41
Market line: LAR -2.5, total 48 · Model expected score: Los Angeles Rams 25.2 – Arizona Cardinals 22.7
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Rams 58%
ACTUAL RESULT
Arizona Cardinals won by 31
COMBINED SCORE
51
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Margin of Victory — Arizona Cardinals (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
58%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
10%
Won by 8-14
13%
Won by 15-21
7%
Won by 21+ ← actual result
4%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 51.
O/U LINE 30
91% over ✓9% under
O/U LINE 40
72% over ✓28% under
O/U LINE 44
62% over ✓38% under
O/U LINE 48
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 48 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 52
38% over62% under ✓
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