Los Angeles Chargers vs Carolina Panthers — Win Probability
FINAL
Los Angeles Chargers
1-1
26
VS
Carolina Panthers
0-1
3
Market line: LAC -3.5, total 41.5 · Model expected score: Los Angeles Chargers 22.5 – Carolina Panthers 19.0
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Chargers 60%
ACTUAL RESULT
Los Angeles Chargers won by 23
COMBINED SCORE
29
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Margin of Victory — Carolina Panthers (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
60%
Won by 1-3
8%
Won by 4-7
10%
Won by 8-14
12%
Won by 15-21
6%
Won by 21+
3%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 29.
O/U LINE 30
81% over19% under ✓
O/U LINE 40
54% over46% under ✓
O/U LINE 41.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
43% over57% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
31% over69% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
21% over79% under ✓
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