Washington Commanders vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Win Probability
FINAL
Washington Commanders
0-0
20
VS
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0-0
37
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Buccaneers 62%
ACTUAL RESULT
Tampa Bay Buccaneers won by 17
COMBINED SCORE
57
Margin of Victory — Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
38%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
19%
Won by 15-21 ← actual result
12%
Won by 21+
10%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 57.
O/U LINE 30
78% over ✓22% under
O/U LINE 40
51% over ✓49% under
O/U LINE 40.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 44
39% over ✓61% under
O/U LINE 48
28% over ✓72% under
O/U LINE 52
19% over ✓81% under
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