Tennessee Titans vs Chicago Bears — Win Probability
FINAL
Tennessee Titans
0-0
17
VS
Chicago Bears
0-0
24
Market line: CHI -5.0, total 43.5 · Model expected score: Tennessee Titans 19.2 – Chicago Bears 24.2
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Bears 65%
ACTUAL RESULT
Chicago Bears won by 7
COMBINED SCORE
41
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Margin of Victory — Chicago Bears (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
35%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7 ← actual result
12%
Won by 8-14
19%
Won by 15-21
14%
Won by 21+
11%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 41.
O/U LINE 30
84% over ✓16% under
O/U LINE 40
60% over ✓40% under
O/U LINE 43.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
48% over52% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
37% over63% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
26% over74% under ✓
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