New England Patriots vs Cincinnati Bengals — Win Probability
FINAL
New England Patriots
0-0
16
VS
Cincinnati Bengals
0-0
10
Market line: CIN -7.5, total 42.5 · Model expected score: New England Patriots 17.5 – Cincinnati Bengals 25.0
Ad space
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Bengals 71%
ACTUAL RESULT
New England Patriots won by 6
COMBINED SCORE
26
Ad space
Margin of Victory — Cincinnati Bengals (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
29%
Won by 1-3
8%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
20%
Won by 15-21
16%
Won by 21+
15%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 26.
O/U LINE 30
82% over18% under ✓
O/U LINE 40
57% over43% under ✓
O/U LINE 42.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
46% over54% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
34% over66% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
24% over76% under ✓
🔒
Unlock Full Game Stats
Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
PFF player grades, lineup matchups, and betting-line insights for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.