Minnesota Vikings vs New York Giants — Win Probability
FINAL
Minnesota Vikings
0-0
28
VS
New York Giants
0-0
6
Market line: NYG -1.0, total 40.5 · Model expected score: Minnesota Vikings 19.8 – New York Giants 20.8
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Giants 53%
ACTUAL RESULT
Minnesota Vikings won by 22
COMBINED SCORE
34
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Margin of Victory — New York Giants (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
47%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
11%
Won by 8-14
16%
Won by 15-21
10%
Won by 21+
7%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 34.
O/U LINE 30
78% over ✓22% under
O/U LINE 40
52% over48% under ✓
O/U LINE 40.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
40% over60% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
29% over71% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
20% over80% under ✓
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