HOU29
FINAL
27IND
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Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts — Win Probability

FINAL
Houston Texans logo
Houston Texans
0-0
29
VS
Indianapolis Colts logo
Indianapolis Colts
0-0
27
Market line: HOU -1.5, total 47.5 · Model expected score: Houston Texans 24.5 – Indianapolis Colts 23.0
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Prediction vs. Result

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PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Texans 54%
ACTUAL RESULT
Houston Texans won by 2
COMBINED SCORE
56
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Margin of Victory — Indianapolis Colts (Home)

Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.

Lost / Tied ← actual result
54%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
11%
Won by 8-14
14%
Won by 15-21
8%
Won by 21+
5%

Total Score — Over / Under

Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 56.

O/U LINE 30
91% over ✓9% under
O/U LINE 40
72% over ✓28% under
O/U LINE 44
60% over ✓40% under
O/U LINE 47.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 48
48% over ✓52% under
O/U LINE 52
37% over ✓63% under
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Every number above comes from the model's live prediction data — 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations, grounded in the market line at generation time.

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