Denver Broncos vs Seattle Seahawks — Win Probability
FINAL
Denver Broncos
0-0
20
VS
Seattle Seahawks
0-0
26
Market line: SEA -5.0, total 42 · Model expected score: Denver Broncos 18.6 – Seattle Seahawks 23.5
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Seahawks 65%
ACTUAL RESULT
Seattle Seahawks won by 6
COMBINED SCORE
46
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Margin of Victory — Seattle Seahawks (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
35%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7 ← actual result
12%
Won by 8-14
19%
Won by 15-21
13%
Won by 21+
11%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 46.
O/U LINE 30
82% over ✓18% under
O/U LINE 40
56% over ✓44% under
O/U LINE 42 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 44
44% over ✓56% under
O/U LINE 48
33% over67% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
23% over77% under ✓
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