Dallas Cowboys vs Cleveland Browns — Win Probability
FINAL
Dallas Cowboys
0-0
33
VS
Cleveland Browns
0-0
17
Market line: DAL -1.0, total 44 · Model expected score: Dallas Cowboys 22.5 – Cleveland Browns 21.5
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Cowboys 53%
ACTUAL RESULT
Dallas Cowboys won by 16
COMBINED SCORE
50
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Margin of Victory — Cleveland Browns (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
53%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
11%
Won by 8-14
14%
Won by 15-21
8%
Won by 21+
5%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 50.
O/U LINE 30
85% over ✓15% under
O/U LINE 40
62% over ✓38% under
O/U LINE 44
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 44 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 48
38% over ✓62% under
O/U LINE 52
27% over73% under ✓
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