Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints — Win Probability
FINAL
Carolina Panthers
0-0
10
VS
New Orleans Saints
0-0
47
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Saints 63%
ACTUAL RESULT
New Orleans Saints won by 37
COMBINED SCORE
57
Margin of Victory — New Orleans Saints (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
37%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
19%
Won by 15-21
13%
Won by 21+ ← actual result
11%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 57.
O/U LINE 30
76% over ✓24% under
O/U LINE 39.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 40
48% over ✓52% under
O/U LINE 44
37% over ✓63% under
O/U LINE 48
26% over ✓74% under
O/U LINE 52
17% over ✓83% under
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