Arizona Cardinals vs Buffalo Bills — Win Probability
FINAL
Arizona Cardinals
0-0
28
VS
Buffalo Bills
0-0
34
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Bills 70%
ACTUAL RESULT
Buffalo Bills won by 6
COMBINED SCORE
62
Margin of Victory — Buffalo Bills (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
30%
Won by 1-3
8%
Won by 4-7 ← actual result
12%
Won by 8-14
20%
Won by 15-21
15%
Won by 21+
15%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 62.
O/U LINE 30
90% over ✓10% under
O/U LINE 40
71% over ✓29% under
O/U LINE 44
60% over ✓40% under
O/U LINE 47.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 48
49% over ✓51% under
O/U LINE 52
37% over ✓63% under
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Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
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