Kansas City Chiefs vs Philadelphia Eagles — Win Probability
FINAL
Kansas City Chiefs
4-0
22
VS
Philadelphia Eagles
4-1
40
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Chiefs 56%
ACTUAL RESULT
Philadelphia Eagles won by 18
COMBINED SCORE
62
Margin of Victory — Philadelphia Eagles (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
56%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
10%
Won by 8-14
13%
Won by 15-21 ← actual result
7%
Won by 21+
4%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 62.
O/U LINE 30
93% over ✓7% under
O/U LINE 40
76% over ✓24% under
O/U LINE 44
66% over ✓34% under
O/U LINE 48
54% over ✓46% under
O/U LINE 49.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 52
43% over ✓57% under
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Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
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