LAR22
FINAL
28PHI
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Los Angeles Rams vs Philadelphia Eagles — Win Probability

FINAL
Los Angeles Rams logo
Los Angeles Rams
0-0
22
VS
Philadelphia Eagles logo
Philadelphia Eagles
1-0
28
Market line: PHI -6.0, total 43.5 · Model expected score: Los Angeles Rams 18.8 – Philadelphia Eagles 24.8
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Prediction vs. Result

We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.

PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Eagles 68%
ACTUAL RESULT
Philadelphia Eagles won by 6
COMBINED SCORE
50
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Margin of Victory — Philadelphia Eagles (Home)

Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.

Lost / Tied
32%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7 ← actual result
12%
Won by 8-14
20%
Won by 15-21
14%
Won by 21+
13%

Total Score — Over / Under

Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 50.

O/U LINE 30
84% over ✓16% under
O/U LINE 40
60% over ✓40% under
O/U LINE 43.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 44
48% over ✓52% under
O/U LINE 48
37% over ✓63% under
O/U LINE 52
26% over74% under ✓
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Every number above comes from the model's live prediction data — 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations, grounded in the market line at generation time.

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