Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens — Win Probability
FINAL
Pittsburgh Steelers
0-0
14
VS
Baltimore Ravens
0-0
28
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Ravens 74%
ACTUAL RESULT
Baltimore Ravens won by 14
COMBINED SCORE
42
Margin of Victory — Baltimore Ravens (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
26%
Won by 1-3
8%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14 ← actual result
21%
Won by 15-21
17%
Won by 21+
17%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 42.
O/U LINE 30
89% over ✓11% under
O/U LINE 40
69% over ✓31% under
O/U LINE 44
58% over42% under ✓
O/U LINE 46.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
46% over54% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
34% over66% under ✓
Projected Margin Range — Baltimore Ravens (Home)
Negative means Baltimore Ravens lost by that many points. The shaded band is the 25th–75th percentile; the dot is the median.
P05: -13
Median: +8
P95: +30