Green Bay Packers vs Philadelphia Eagles — Win Probability
FINAL
Green Bay Packers
0-0
10
VS
Philadelphia Eagles
0-0
22
Market line: PHI -3.5, total 46.5 · Model expected score: Green Bay Packers 21.4 – Philadelphia Eagles 25.0
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Eagles 61%
ACTUAL RESULT
Philadelphia Eagles won by 12
COMBINED SCORE
32
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Margin of Victory — Philadelphia Eagles (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
39%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14 ← actual result
18%
Won by 15-21
12%
Won by 21+
9%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 32.
O/U LINE 30
89% over ✓11% under
O/U LINE 40
69% over31% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
57% over43% under ✓
O/U LINE 46.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
45% over55% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
34% over66% under ✓
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